This paper shows some views on the mathematical structure of the diffusion of the Coronavirus (COVID-19), often claimed to have a positive exponential structure. However, we find that the exponential growth rate is past the inflection point and that growth is much slower than this implication. It presents conclusions on the future expected outcome of the current situation-not only in terms of diffusion of the disease but also for the hysteria that have been created around it.

Masyagin S, Mazzara M, Succi G, Spallone A, Volpi A (2020). Covid 19: How Really is the Epidemiological Curve? Epidemiological Curve Growth Rate is Less than One. BIOMEDICAL JOURNAL OF SCIENTIFIC & TECHNICAL RESEARCH, 27(5), 21056-21062 [10.26717/BJSTR.2020.27.004557].

Covid 19: How Really is the Epidemiological Curve? Epidemiological Curve Growth Rate is Less than One

Succi G;
2020

Abstract

This paper shows some views on the mathematical structure of the diffusion of the Coronavirus (COVID-19), often claimed to have a positive exponential structure. However, we find that the exponential growth rate is past the inflection point and that growth is much slower than this implication. It presents conclusions on the future expected outcome of the current situation-not only in terms of diffusion of the disease but also for the hysteria that have been created around it.
2020
Masyagin S, Mazzara M, Succi G, Spallone A, Volpi A (2020). Covid 19: How Really is the Epidemiological Curve? Epidemiological Curve Growth Rate is Less than One. BIOMEDICAL JOURNAL OF SCIENTIFIC & TECHNICAL RESEARCH, 27(5), 21056-21062 [10.26717/BJSTR.2020.27.004557].
Masyagin S; Mazzara M; Succi G; Spallone A; Volpi A
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11585/892518
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