According to theoretical models, market and trade expansion should generally bring about significant changes in production structures, leading to a greater division of labour and increased wealth both inside and outside the area concerned. Based on this notion, the objective of this study is to qualitatively and quantitatively analyse the dynamics of the trade flows of the Candidate Countries (CC-10, the first wave of accession candidates) for agri-food products, with particular focus on imports originating from the Third Mediterranean Countries (TMe). The possible evolutionary scenarios for exportations and, as such, the agri-food economy of the TMC that could result from accession will be evaluated. First, the study will analyse the main socioeconomic variables (population, per capita income, food consumption) necessary for determining the structure and long-term trends of the agri-food markets of the ten Candidate Countries for accession to the EU. The analysis will then focus on the trends in the trade flows of agri-food products in the Candidate Countries, with a focus on the structure and composition of imports from the TMC. Lastly, the study will use a statistical regression model to quantify the variables that describe the import demand for the mai n Mediterranean agri-food products. The aim will be to evaluate the possibilities of boosting the share of the TMC once the international trade of such products increases following EU enlargement. In that regard, it must be clarified that a preliminary investigation showed that not ali of the TMC make a significant contribution to the imports of the Candidate Countries. For this reason, the analysis focuses on the countries that make a significant contribution to the trade of agri-food products, or Egypt, Morocco, Tunisia, and Turkey. These countries account for approximately 90% of the imports from extra-EU countries in the Mediterranean area, which we will hereafter continue to refer to as TMC. Regarding the commodity classes being examined, in order to make the analyses easier to perform and to read, we selected the most important exports of the TMC to the Candidate Countries, which also represent the principal products of the Mediterranean area: olive oil, fresh vegetables, fresh fruit (with particular attention to citrus fruits), preparations of fruit and vegetables and fish products. Given the immediateness of the problem, the purpose of this study was to provide - despite the difficulties encountered regarding data collection - an initial methodological approach and a series of results and useful information in a basic explanatory document that could be used to foster and expand upon discussions on the various issues related to EU enlargement.
The impact of enlargement on the agricultural economics of the TMC: Perspectives / Malorgio G.; Camanzi L.. - STAMPA. - (2004), pp. 31-71.
The impact of enlargement on the agricultural economics of the TMC: Perspectives
MALORGIO, GIULIO;CAMANZI, LUCA
2004
Abstract
According to theoretical models, market and trade expansion should generally bring about significant changes in production structures, leading to a greater division of labour and increased wealth both inside and outside the area concerned. Based on this notion, the objective of this study is to qualitatively and quantitatively analyse the dynamics of the trade flows of the Candidate Countries (CC-10, the first wave of accession candidates) for agri-food products, with particular focus on imports originating from the Third Mediterranean Countries (TMe). The possible evolutionary scenarios for exportations and, as such, the agri-food economy of the TMC that could result from accession will be evaluated. First, the study will analyse the main socioeconomic variables (population, per capita income, food consumption) necessary for determining the structure and long-term trends of the agri-food markets of the ten Candidate Countries for accession to the EU. The analysis will then focus on the trends in the trade flows of agri-food products in the Candidate Countries, with a focus on the structure and composition of imports from the TMC. Lastly, the study will use a statistical regression model to quantify the variables that describe the import demand for the mai n Mediterranean agri-food products. The aim will be to evaluate the possibilities of boosting the share of the TMC once the international trade of such products increases following EU enlargement. In that regard, it must be clarified that a preliminary investigation showed that not ali of the TMC make a significant contribution to the imports of the Candidate Countries. For this reason, the analysis focuses on the countries that make a significant contribution to the trade of agri-food products, or Egypt, Morocco, Tunisia, and Turkey. These countries account for approximately 90% of the imports from extra-EU countries in the Mediterranean area, which we will hereafter continue to refer to as TMC. Regarding the commodity classes being examined, in order to make the analyses easier to perform and to read, we selected the most important exports of the TMC to the Candidate Countries, which also represent the principal products of the Mediterranean area: olive oil, fresh vegetables, fresh fruit (with particular attention to citrus fruits), preparations of fruit and vegetables and fish products. Given the immediateness of the problem, the purpose of this study was to provide - despite the difficulties encountered regarding data collection - an initial methodological approach and a series of results and useful information in a basic explanatory document that could be used to foster and expand upon discussions on the various issues related to EU enlargement.I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.
