Relationship between immune response to SARS-CoV2 vaccines and development of breakthrough infection in solid organ transplant recipients: the CONTRAST cohort

Background: SARS-CoV-2 vaccination in solid organ transplant (SOT) is associated with poorer antibody response (AbR) compared to non-SOT recipients. However, its impact on the risk of breakthrough infection (BI) should yet be assessed. Methods: Single-center prospective longitudinal cohort study enrolling adult SOT recipients who received SARS-CoV2 vaccination during 1-year period from February 2021, and followed-up to April 30th 2022. Patients were tested for AbR at multiple timepoints. Primary endpoint was BI (laboratory confirmed SARS-CoV2 infection ≥14 days after 2nd dose). Immunization (positive AbR) was considered an intermediate state between vaccination and BI. Probabilities of being in vaccination, immunization and BI states were obtained for each type of graft and vaccination sequence with multistate survival analysis, then multivariable logistic regression was performed to analyse the risk of BI in AbR levels. Results: 614 SOT (275 kidney, 163 liver, 137 heart, 39 lung) recipients were included. Most patients (84.7%) received three vaccine doses, the first two consisted of BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273 in 73.5% and 26.5% of cases, respectively; while at the third dose mRNA-1273 was administered in 59.8% of patients. Overall, 75.4% of patients reached immunization and 18.4% developed BI. Heart transplant recipients showed lowest probability of immunization (0.418) and highest of BI (0.323), all-mRNA-1273 vaccine-sequence showed higher probability of immunization (0.732) and lowest of BI (0.098). Risk of BI was higher for non-high-level AbR, younger age and shorter time from transplant. Conclusions: SOT patients with non-high-level AbR, shorter time from transplantation, and heart recipients are at highest risk of BI.