Moment rate of the 2018 Gulf of Alaska earthquake

The 2018 Gulf of Alaska earthquake (Mw 7.9) occurred in a region of the Pacific plate southwest of the Alaskan subduction zone. The earthquake was a strike-slip event, with the hypocenter located at a depth of about 25 km and a seismic moment equal to 0.96 × 1021 Nm. Two observed moment rates have been obtained by the Geoscope Observatory, France, and by the United States Geological Survey (USGS). Both of them can be interpreted as due to the failure of two asperities on the fault surface. We consider a discrete fault model, with two asperities of different areas and strengths, and show that the observed moment rates can be reproduced by appropriate values of the model parameters, as inferred from the available data. A good fit to the observed moment rates is obtained by a sequence of three dynamic modes of the system, including a phase of simultaneous slip of the asperities. The two moment rates are however characterized by different initial conditions, in terms of different initial shear stress distributions on the fault. Shear stresses on the asperities are calculated as functions of time during the event and show a similar evolution in the two cases, but with different final values. The model results show that the presence of simultaneous asperity motion can significantly increase the seismic moment of a large earthquake.