The standard version of the game Rock-Paper-Scissors is interesting in terms of game theory, but less so in terms of Statistics. However, we show that with a small rule change it can be made into an interactive exercise for degree-level students of Statistics that leads to a Bayesian change-point model, for which the Gibbs sampler provides an intuitive method of inference. First, students play the game to generate the data. Second, they are encouraged to formulate a model that reflects their experience from having played the game. And third, they participate in the development of a suitable MCMC algorithm to fit the model.

A statistical learning exercise based on a modified Rock-Paper-Scissors game / Paola Bortot, Stuart Coles. - In: MSOR CONNECTIONS. - ISSN 2051-4220. - ELETTRONICO. - 18:1(2019), pp. 56-65. [https://doi.org/10.21100/msor.v18i1]

A statistical learning exercise based on a modified Rock-Paper-Scissors game

Paola Bortot
Methodology
;
2019

Abstract

The standard version of the game Rock-Paper-Scissors is interesting in terms of game theory, but less so in terms of Statistics. However, we show that with a small rule change it can be made into an interactive exercise for degree-level students of Statistics that leads to a Bayesian change-point model, for which the Gibbs sampler provides an intuitive method of inference. First, students play the game to generate the data. Second, they are encouraged to formulate a model that reflects their experience from having played the game. And third, they participate in the development of a suitable MCMC algorithm to fit the model.
2019
A statistical learning exercise based on a modified Rock-Paper-Scissors game / Paola Bortot, Stuart Coles. - In: MSOR CONNECTIONS. - ISSN 2051-4220. - ELETTRONICO. - 18:1(2019), pp. 56-65. [https://doi.org/10.21100/msor.v18i1]
Paola Bortot, Stuart Coles
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11585/697876
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