Development and applications of prognostic risk models in the management of invasive mold disease

Prognostic models or risk scores are frequently used to aid individualize risk assessment for diseases with multiple, complex risk factors and diagnostic challenges. However, relatively little attention has been paid to the development of risk models for invasive mold diseases encountered in patients with hematological malignancies, despite a large body of epidemiological research. Herein we review recent studies that have described the development of prognostic models for mold disease, summarize our experience with the development and clinical use of one such model (BOSCORE), and discuss the potential impact of prognostic risk scores for individualized therapy, diagnostic and antifungal stewardship, as well as clinical and epidemiological research.