Conventional unit root tests are known to be unreliable in the presence of permanent volatility shifts. In this paper, we propose a new approach to unit root testing which is valid in the presence of a quite general class of permanent variance changes which includes single and multiple (abrupt and smooth transition) volatility change processes as special cases. The new tests are based on a time transformation of the series of interest which automatically corrects their form for the presence of non-stationary volatility without the need to specify any parametric model for the volatility process. Despite their generality, the new tests perform well even in small samples. We also propose a class of tests for the null hypothesis of stationary volatility in (near-) integrated time-series processes.

Cavaliere G., Taylor A.M.R. (2008). Time-transformed unit root tests for models with non-stationary volatility. JOURNAL OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, 29, 300-330 [10.1111/j.1467-9892.2007.00557.x].

Time-transformed unit root tests for models with non-stationary volatility

CAVALIERE, GIUSEPPE;
2008

Abstract

Conventional unit root tests are known to be unreliable in the presence of permanent volatility shifts. In this paper, we propose a new approach to unit root testing which is valid in the presence of a quite general class of permanent variance changes which includes single and multiple (abrupt and smooth transition) volatility change processes as special cases. The new tests are based on a time transformation of the series of interest which automatically corrects their form for the presence of non-stationary volatility without the need to specify any parametric model for the volatility process. Despite their generality, the new tests perform well even in small samples. We also propose a class of tests for the null hypothesis of stationary volatility in (near-) integrated time-series processes.
2008
Cavaliere G., Taylor A.M.R. (2008). Time-transformed unit root tests for models with non-stationary volatility. JOURNAL OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, 29, 300-330 [10.1111/j.1467-9892.2007.00557.x].
Cavaliere G.; Taylor A.M.R.
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11585/64928
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