During the last decades, there has been a growing concern in the chemical and petrochemical industry regarding losses of storage materials caused by natural phenomena. These events have the potential to cause significant damage, especially in areas where large quantities of hazardous substances are stored. The release of these substances may lead to fires, explosions, or the emission of toxic clouds into the atmosphere; and might have a significant impact on the population located in neighbour urban areas and on the environment. When industrial accidents are triggered by natural events such as earthquakes, floods and storms, or any other natural event, these chemical accidents are known as NaTech events (Natural Hazard Triggering Technological Accidents). In this paper, we will focus on the assessment of risk associated to extreme wind events, floods and earthquakes in industrial storage areas. A method for the quantification of risk associated with extreme winds, floods and earthquakes in vertical storage tanks that work in atmospheric conditions is proposed. This method allows to establish possible accidental scenarios, as well as the estimation of different failure or loss probabilities due to shell buckling, roof detachment, tank overturning or sliding, among others. It is a tool that takes the interaction of both the mentioned natural phenomena and the physical and mechanical characteristics of hydrocarbon storage tanks into account. Furthermore, the model makes an evaluation of the different types of losses through fragility curves and normalized Probit curves, which take into account the uncertainty of the involved variables. In addition, the method allows calculating the losses of hazardous material once the storage tank has failed, estimates the consequences of the loss of containment to finally assess the associated risk. This model can be used as a verification and validation tool for existing risk-assessment models of both new and existing tanks; also, it provides insight on the necessary operating conditions and design practices for risk mitigation upon different types of natural phenomena. © 2018 IChemE.
Vulnerability and risk assessment analysis of natech events caused by natural phenomena / Olivar, O.J.R. ;Mayorga, S.Z. ;Cruz, A.M. ;Pinelli, J.-P. ;Salzano, E. ;Giraldo, F.M. ;Sánchez-Silva, M.. - STAMPA. - 2018-May:163(2018), pp. 224-235. (Intervento presentato al convegno 28th Institution of Chemical Engineers Symposium on Hazards 2018 tenutosi a Edingurgh nel 15 - 17 May 2018).
Vulnerability and risk assessment analysis of natech events caused by natural phenomena
Salzano, E.;
2018
Abstract
During the last decades, there has been a growing concern in the chemical and petrochemical industry regarding losses of storage materials caused by natural phenomena. These events have the potential to cause significant damage, especially in areas where large quantities of hazardous substances are stored. The release of these substances may lead to fires, explosions, or the emission of toxic clouds into the atmosphere; and might have a significant impact on the population located in neighbour urban areas and on the environment. When industrial accidents are triggered by natural events such as earthquakes, floods and storms, or any other natural event, these chemical accidents are known as NaTech events (Natural Hazard Triggering Technological Accidents). In this paper, we will focus on the assessment of risk associated to extreme wind events, floods and earthquakes in industrial storage areas. A method for the quantification of risk associated with extreme winds, floods and earthquakes in vertical storage tanks that work in atmospheric conditions is proposed. This method allows to establish possible accidental scenarios, as well as the estimation of different failure or loss probabilities due to shell buckling, roof detachment, tank overturning or sliding, among others. It is a tool that takes the interaction of both the mentioned natural phenomena and the physical and mechanical characteristics of hydrocarbon storage tanks into account. Furthermore, the model makes an evaluation of the different types of losses through fragility curves and normalized Probit curves, which take into account the uncertainty of the involved variables. In addition, the method allows calculating the losses of hazardous material once the storage tank has failed, estimates the consequences of the loss of containment to finally assess the associated risk. This model can be used as a verification and validation tool for existing risk-assessment models of both new and existing tanks; also, it provides insight on the necessary operating conditions and design practices for risk mitigation upon different types of natural phenomena. © 2018 IChemE.I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.
