The objective of the paper is to model the effects of several policy and price scenarios between 2006 and 2021 on a few French and Italian arable farm households. It uses a multi-criteria dynamic programming model of farm households, calibrated on primary data from a survey of single farms through a questionnaire. Simulation results show that, as expected, reducing or cutting payments from 2013 onwards (Scenarios 3) have a stronger negative impact on farming activities than maintaining the payments does (Scenarios 2). However, a reduction in payments has a less pronounced impact on income from farming than a decrease in prices does. But a combination of price decrease and payment reduction may lead to abandonment by some farms. Results also highlight that adaptation of farm activities is more important than investment as a reaction to both policy and price changes.

Viaggi D., Raggi M., Gomez y Paloma S., Latruffe L., Desjeux Y. (2008). Modelling the impact of post-2006 agricultural policy scenarios on farm behaviour: The case of arable farms in France and Italy. LILLE : SFER.

Modelling the impact of post-2006 agricultural policy scenarios on farm behaviour: The case of arable farms in France and Italy

VIAGGI, DAVIDE;RAGGI, MERI;
2008

Abstract

The objective of the paper is to model the effects of several policy and price scenarios between 2006 and 2021 on a few French and Italian arable farm households. It uses a multi-criteria dynamic programming model of farm households, calibrated on primary data from a survey of single farms through a questionnaire. Simulation results show that, as expected, reducing or cutting payments from 2013 onwards (Scenarios 3) have a stronger negative impact on farming activities than maintaining the payments does (Scenarios 2). However, a reduction in payments has a less pronounced impact on income from farming than a decrease in prices does. But a combination of price decrease and payment reduction may lead to abandonment by some farms. Results also highlight that adaptation of farm activities is more important than investment as a reaction to both policy and price changes.
2008
Journées de Recherches en Sciences Sociales INRA-SFER-CIRAD
1
17
Viaggi D., Raggi M., Gomez y Paloma S., Latruffe L., Desjeux Y. (2008). Modelling the impact of post-2006 agricultural policy scenarios on farm behaviour: The case of arable farms in France and Italy. LILLE : SFER.
Viaggi D.; Raggi M.; Gomez y Paloma S.; Latruffe L.; Desjeux Y.
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11585/62113
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