We evaluate the impact of heavy-tailed innovations on some popular unit root tests. In the context of a near-integrated series driven by linear process shocks, we demonstrate that their limiting distributions are altered under infinite variance vis-a -vis finite variance. Reassuringly, however, simulation results suggest that the impact of heavy-tailed innovations on these tests is relatively small. We use the framework of Amsler and Schmidt () whereby the innovations have local-to-finite variances being generated as a linear combination of draws from a thin-tailed distribution (in the domain of attraction of the Gaussian distribution) and a heavy-tailed distribution (in the normal domain of attraction of a stable law). We also explore the properties of augmented Dickey-Fuller tests that employ Eicker-White standard errors, demonstrating that these can yield significant power improvements over conventional tests.

Georgiev, I., Rodrigues, P.M.M., Robert Taylor, A.M. (2017). Unit Root Tests and Heavy-Tailed Innovations. JOURNAL OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, 38(5), 733-768 [10.1111/jtsa.12233].

Unit Root Tests and Heavy-Tailed Innovations

GEORGIEV, ILIYAN VLADIMIROV;
2017

Abstract

We evaluate the impact of heavy-tailed innovations on some popular unit root tests. In the context of a near-integrated series driven by linear process shocks, we demonstrate that their limiting distributions are altered under infinite variance vis-a -vis finite variance. Reassuringly, however, simulation results suggest that the impact of heavy-tailed innovations on these tests is relatively small. We use the framework of Amsler and Schmidt () whereby the innovations have local-to-finite variances being generated as a linear combination of draws from a thin-tailed distribution (in the domain of attraction of the Gaussian distribution) and a heavy-tailed distribution (in the normal domain of attraction of a stable law). We also explore the properties of augmented Dickey-Fuller tests that employ Eicker-White standard errors, demonstrating that these can yield significant power improvements over conventional tests.
2017
Georgiev, I., Rodrigues, P.M.M., Robert Taylor, A.M. (2017). Unit Root Tests and Heavy-Tailed Innovations. JOURNAL OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, 38(5), 733-768 [10.1111/jtsa.12233].
Georgiev, Iliyan; Rodrigues, Paulo M. M.; Robert Taylor, A. M.
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11585/609505
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