This paper presents some of the main problematic aspects of polling in Italy. Among these approximately 400,000 families without telephone connection are excluded from most polling. Only 37% of households have landline telephone subscription available for sampling. Those with access only through cell phones already make up 42%. It must be emphasised that the overused expression "representative sample" has been found to be technical nonsense. Experimental results are obtained estimating political tendencies when not directly expressed. The theory of the "Spiral of Silence" is considered and found to have become invalid. Fair political polling and adequate communication of the results are imperative. But both, typically, are too often found to be lacking. Agcom – the Italian Communications Regulatory Authority Guarantees – refuses to aknowledge its duty to monitor the quality of polls. Therefore one can only propose the creation of an independent body focusing on these aspects, while following the Italian Jury for proper advertising.

I sondaggi politico-elettorali nell’era dello sconcerto / Marbach, Giorgio; Gasperoni, Giancarlo; Natale, Paolo. - In: MICRO & MACRO MARKETING. - ISSN 1121-4228. - STAMPA. - XXVI:1(2017), pp. 45-74.

I sondaggi politico-elettorali nell’era dello sconcerto

GASPERONI, Giancarlo;
2017

Abstract

This paper presents some of the main problematic aspects of polling in Italy. Among these approximately 400,000 families without telephone connection are excluded from most polling. Only 37% of households have landline telephone subscription available for sampling. Those with access only through cell phones already make up 42%. It must be emphasised that the overused expression "representative sample" has been found to be technical nonsense. Experimental results are obtained estimating political tendencies when not directly expressed. The theory of the "Spiral of Silence" is considered and found to have become invalid. Fair political polling and adequate communication of the results are imperative. But both, typically, are too often found to be lacking. Agcom – the Italian Communications Regulatory Authority Guarantees – refuses to aknowledge its duty to monitor the quality of polls. Therefore one can only propose the creation of an independent body focusing on these aspects, while following the Italian Jury for proper advertising.
2017
I sondaggi politico-elettorali nell’era dello sconcerto / Marbach, Giorgio; Gasperoni, Giancarlo; Natale, Paolo. - In: MICRO & MACRO MARKETING. - ISSN 1121-4228. - STAMPA. - XXVI:1(2017), pp. 45-74.
Marbach, Giorgio; Gasperoni, Giancarlo; Natale, Paolo
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11585/596736
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