The failure prediction of components plays an increasingly important role in manufacturing. In this context, new models are proposed to better face this problem, and, among them, artificial neural networks are emerging as effective. A first approach to these networks can be complex, but in this paper, we will show that even simple networks can approximate the cumulative failure distribution well. The neural network approach results are often better than those based on the most useful probability distribution in reliability, the Weibull. In this paper, the performances of multilayer feedforward basic networks with different network configurations are tested, changing different parameters (e.g., the number of nodes, the learning rate, and the momentum). We used a set of different failure data of components taken from the real world, and we analyzed the accuracy of the approximation of the different neural networks compared with the least squares method based on the Weibull distribution. The results show that the networks can satisfactorily approximate the cumulative failure distribution, very often better than the least squares method, particularly in cases with a small number of available failure times.

Alsina, E.F., Cabri, G., Regattieri, A. (2016). A Neural Network Approach to Find the Cumulative Failure Distribution: Modeling and Experimental Evidence. QUALITY AND RELIABILITY ENGINEERING INTERNATIONAL, 32(2), 567-579 [10.1002/qre.1773].

A Neural Network Approach to Find the Cumulative Failure Distribution: Modeling and Experimental Evidence

ALSINA, EMANUEL FEDERICO;REGATTIERI, ALBERTO
2016

Abstract

The failure prediction of components plays an increasingly important role in manufacturing. In this context, new models are proposed to better face this problem, and, among them, artificial neural networks are emerging as effective. A first approach to these networks can be complex, but in this paper, we will show that even simple networks can approximate the cumulative failure distribution well. The neural network approach results are often better than those based on the most useful probability distribution in reliability, the Weibull. In this paper, the performances of multilayer feedforward basic networks with different network configurations are tested, changing different parameters (e.g., the number of nodes, the learning rate, and the momentum). We used a set of different failure data of components taken from the real world, and we analyzed the accuracy of the approximation of the different neural networks compared with the least squares method based on the Weibull distribution. The results show that the networks can satisfactorily approximate the cumulative failure distribution, very often better than the least squares method, particularly in cases with a small number of available failure times.
2016
Alsina, E.F., Cabri, G., Regattieri, A. (2016). A Neural Network Approach to Find the Cumulative Failure Distribution: Modeling and Experimental Evidence. QUALITY AND RELIABILITY ENGINEERING INTERNATIONAL, 32(2), 567-579 [10.1002/qre.1773].
Alsina, Emanuel Federico; Cabri, Giacomo; Regattieri, Alberto
File in questo prodotto:
Eventuali allegati, non sono esposti

I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.

Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11585/562264
 Attenzione

Attenzione! I dati visualizzati non sono stati sottoposti a validazione da parte dell'ateneo

Citazioni
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.pmc??? ND
  • Scopus 11
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.isi??? 8
social impact