An Evaluation of the Health Impact has been carried out in the context of the Strategic Environmental Evaluation belonging to the next Regional Air Quality Plan 2014-2020 (PAIR2020); this work is meant to estimate the health effects deriving from the decrease of PM10 concentration in the air. In this purpose, it has been used a formula established by the ISPO of Florence to calculate AC (Attributable Casualties) due to PM10 action; in doing this, the ISTAT data of natural death have been taken into account, together with several parameters and values for health protection of WHO and EU, first analyzing the regional realities of 2001 and 2010, and then defining three different scenarios (BAU-TS-MFR) which will be the reference point for 2020, in relation to the average annual concentration of PM10 and according to the present available sketch of the latest PAIR2020. The air quality scenarios has been calculated using the Emilia-Romagna Regional Emission Inventory and for neighboring regions Emilia-Romagna the National Emissions Inventory (ISPRA 2005) taking into account the national energy strategy SEN2013 (source GAINS Italy) with the RIAT+ software, that is a regional integrated assessment software tool, developed in OPERA LIFE+ Project that helps the policy makers in the selection of optimal emission reduction technologies, to improve the air quality at minimum costs. In this way, it has been possible to see the direction in which the scenarios of casualties attributable to PM10 will evolve up to 2020, obviously in relation to a reduction of the average regional concentration levels of pollutants in air. After estimating deaths attributable for the three possible 2020 target scenarios we estimated at regional level, for the only year 2010, the separated emissions for the primary and secondary PM10, disaggregated for the 11 CORINAIR productive macro sectors sources of emissions, and then calculated their attributable deaths (AC) due the PM10, so you have an idea in terms of percentages, the respective responsibilities of each macro productive sector regional, highlighting the most significant
HEALTH IMPACT OF A REGIONAL PLAN FOR THE IMPROVEMENT OF PM10 AIR QUALITY / Riccardo Francia; Barbara Battini; Luca Vignoli; Simone Giannini;Paolo Cagnoli; Alessandra Bonoli; Andrea Ranzi; Michele Stortini; Marco Deserti; Bonafè Giovanni; Paolo Lauriola. - In: PROCEDIA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE, ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENT. - ISSN 2392-9545. - ELETTRONICO. - 2:1(2015), pp. 37-50.
HEALTH IMPACT OF A REGIONAL PLAN FOR THE IMPROVEMENT OF PM10 AIR QUALITY
VIGNOLI, LUCA;BONOLI, ALESSANDRA;
2015
Abstract
An Evaluation of the Health Impact has been carried out in the context of the Strategic Environmental Evaluation belonging to the next Regional Air Quality Plan 2014-2020 (PAIR2020); this work is meant to estimate the health effects deriving from the decrease of PM10 concentration in the air. In this purpose, it has been used a formula established by the ISPO of Florence to calculate AC (Attributable Casualties) due to PM10 action; in doing this, the ISTAT data of natural death have been taken into account, together with several parameters and values for health protection of WHO and EU, first analyzing the regional realities of 2001 and 2010, and then defining three different scenarios (BAU-TS-MFR) which will be the reference point for 2020, in relation to the average annual concentration of PM10 and according to the present available sketch of the latest PAIR2020. The air quality scenarios has been calculated using the Emilia-Romagna Regional Emission Inventory and for neighboring regions Emilia-Romagna the National Emissions Inventory (ISPRA 2005) taking into account the national energy strategy SEN2013 (source GAINS Italy) with the RIAT+ software, that is a regional integrated assessment software tool, developed in OPERA LIFE+ Project that helps the policy makers in the selection of optimal emission reduction technologies, to improve the air quality at minimum costs. In this way, it has been possible to see the direction in which the scenarios of casualties attributable to PM10 will evolve up to 2020, obviously in relation to a reduction of the average regional concentration levels of pollutants in air. After estimating deaths attributable for the three possible 2020 target scenarios we estimated at regional level, for the only year 2010, the separated emissions for the primary and secondary PM10, disaggregated for the 11 CORINAIR productive macro sectors sources of emissions, and then calculated their attributable deaths (AC) due the PM10, so you have an idea in terms of percentages, the respective responsibilities of each macro productive sector regional, highlighting the most significantI documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.
