Local Vehicle Density Estimation on Highways Using Awareness Messages and Broadcast Reliability of Vehicular Communications

This paper presents a novel method for locally estimating vehicle density on highways based on vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) communication, a communication mode within intelligent transport systems (ITSs), enabled via IEEE 802.11p and 3GPP C-V2X technologies. Awareness messages (AMs), such as basic safety messages (BSMs, SAE J2735) and cooperative awareness messages (CAMs, ETSI EN 302 637-2), are periodically broadcast by vehicles and can be leveraged to sense the presence of nearby vehicles. Unlike existing approaches that directly combine the number of sensed vehicles with measured packet reception ratio (PRR) of the AM, our method accounts for the deviations in PRR caused by imperfect channel conditions. To address this, we estimate the actual packet reception probability (PRP)-distance curve by exploiting its inherent downward trend along with multiple measured PRR points. From this curve, two metrics are introduced: node awareness probability (NAP) and average awareness ratio (AAR), the latter representing the ratio of sensed vehicles to the total number of vehicles. The real density is then estimated using the number of sensed vehicles and AAR, mitigating the underestimation issues common in V2V-based methods. Simulation results across densities ranging from 0.02 vehs/m to 0.28 vehs/m demonstrate that our method improves estimation accuracy by up to 37% at an actual density of 0.28 vehs/m, compared with methods relying solely on received AMs, without introducing additional communication overhead. Additionally, we demonstrate a practical application where the basic safety message (BSM) transmission rate is dynamically adjusted based on the estimated density, thereby improving traffic management efficiency.