Within a tractable New Keynesian model with stochastic asset-market participation, we analyze the normative implications of bubbly fluctuations for monetary policy. For a welfare-maximizing central bank, bubbly fluctuations imply an endogenous tradeoff between stabilizing cross-sectional consumption dispersion and stabilizing inflation/output. Inflation targeting is thus a generally suboptimal monetary-policy regime, despite the ‘‘divine coincidence’’. Optimal deviations from inflation targeting are larger if the economy fluctuates around a balanced-growth path with small or no equilibrium bubbles, in which case the endogenous tradeoff is more stringent. The specific optimal-policy response to bubbly fluctuations depends however on the intrinsic nature of latter, and the associated effects on consumption dispersion.
Bonchi, J., Nisticò, S. (2024). Optimal monetary policy and rational asset bubbles. EUROPEAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, 170(10), 1-30 [10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104851].
Optimal monetary policy and rational asset bubbles
Bonchi, Jacopo;
2024
Abstract
Within a tractable New Keynesian model with stochastic asset-market participation, we analyze the normative implications of bubbly fluctuations for monetary policy. For a welfare-maximizing central bank, bubbly fluctuations imply an endogenous tradeoff between stabilizing cross-sectional consumption dispersion and stabilizing inflation/output. Inflation targeting is thus a generally suboptimal monetary-policy regime, despite the ‘‘divine coincidence’’. Optimal deviations from inflation targeting are larger if the economy fluctuates around a balanced-growth path with small or no equilibrium bubbles, in which case the endogenous tradeoff is more stringent. The specific optimal-policy response to bubbly fluctuations depends however on the intrinsic nature of latter, and the associated effects on consumption dispersion.| File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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Open Access dal 07/09/2025
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