Bayesian inference-based dynamic risk assessment (BIDRA) and the risk barometer represent two different approaches that may be adopted for dynamic evaluation of accident frequency. BIDRA is a methodology for reactive risk assessment based on Bayesian inference, whereas the risk barometer is based on real-time indicator monitoring aiming to support proactive assessment of risk. This chapter illustrates two tutorials for the application of the BIDRA and risk barometer techniques. Moreover, application to the same representative case is performed by simulating the inputs for the methodologies: past near misses and accidents for BIDRA, and technical, operational, and organizational indicator trends for the risk barometer. This example aims to highlight similarities and differences and provides support for the selection of methods.

Scarponi, G., Paltrinieri, N., Khan, F., Cozzani, V. (2016). Reactive and Proactive Approaches: Tutorials and Example. Amsterdam : Elsevier Inc. [10.1016/B978-0-12-803765-2.00007-X].

Reactive and Proactive Approaches: Tutorials and Example

SCARPONI, GIORDANO EMRYS;COZZANI, VALERIO
2016

Abstract

Bayesian inference-based dynamic risk assessment (BIDRA) and the risk barometer represent two different approaches that may be adopted for dynamic evaluation of accident frequency. BIDRA is a methodology for reactive risk assessment based on Bayesian inference, whereas the risk barometer is based on real-time indicator monitoring aiming to support proactive assessment of risk. This chapter illustrates two tutorials for the application of the BIDRA and risk barometer techniques. Moreover, application to the same representative case is performed by simulating the inputs for the methodologies: past near misses and accidents for BIDRA, and technical, operational, and organizational indicator trends for the risk barometer. This example aims to highlight similarities and differences and provides support for the selection of methods.
2016
Dynamic Risk Analysis in the Chemical and Petroleum Industry: Evolution and Interaction with Parallel Disciplines in the Perspective of Industrial Application
75
92
Scarponi, G., Paltrinieri, N., Khan, F., Cozzani, V. (2016). Reactive and Proactive Approaches: Tutorials and Example. Amsterdam : Elsevier Inc. [10.1016/B978-0-12-803765-2.00007-X].
Scarponi, G.E; Paltrinieri, N.; Khan, F.; Cozzani, V.
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11585/588198
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