The complexity of Domino scenarios represented a considerable obstacle to the quantitative assessment of risk posed by escalation events. In the present chapter, the state of the art concerning quantitative approaches proposed for the assessment of risk caused by domino accidents is summarized. A procedure for the quantitative risk assessment of domino accidents, suitable for the calculation of individual and societal risk indexes, is outlined. Alternative approaches proposed for the quantitative assessment of domino effects, based on Bayesian techniques and Monte Carlo simulations, are also described.
Valerio Cozzani, Giacomo Antonioni, Nima Khakzad, Faisal Khan, Jerome Taveau, Genserik Reniers (2013). Quantitative Assessment of Risk Caused by Domino Accidents. Amsterdam : Elsevier [10.1016/B978-0-444-54323-3.00010-5].
Quantitative Assessment of Risk Caused by Domino Accidents
COZZANI, VALERIO;ANTONIONI, GIACOMO;
2013
Abstract
The complexity of Domino scenarios represented a considerable obstacle to the quantitative assessment of risk posed by escalation events. In the present chapter, the state of the art concerning quantitative approaches proposed for the assessment of risk caused by domino accidents is summarized. A procedure for the quantitative risk assessment of domino accidents, suitable for the calculation of individual and societal risk indexes, is outlined. Alternative approaches proposed for the quantitative assessment of domino effects, based on Bayesian techniques and Monte Carlo simulations, are also described.I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.
