Several of the major accidents that occurred in Europe in recent years showed unexpected scenarios not considered by their site safety reports, such as the accidents at Toulouse (France) in 2001 and Buncefield (United Kingdom) in 2005. This contribution tackles this emerging risk of “atypical” accident scenarios, not captured by standard risk assessment because deviating from normal expectations, which has been firstly introduced by the EC project iNTeg-Risk. A synergy of tools developed or used within the this project is adopted as way of prevention of atypical accident scenarios. Lessons learned, recommendations and the new methodology DyPASI (Dynamic Procedure for Atypical Scenarios Identification) is completed by the REWI (Resilience based Early Warning Indicators) method. The first technique is built for the identification of atypical scenarios and is based on systematization of information from early warnings, represented by past events, near misses and in-depth studies related to the industrial process considered. The second one is a proactive methodology for the development of resilience based early warning indicators and can unveil early deviations in the casual chain of potential accident scenarios. The composition of the two represents an advanced approach to tackle this topical issue from different slants for a more complete result. However, the core of the whole project is always kept as a reference point: the Emerging Risk Management Framework (ERMF), defined to provide the basis for integration of the research and management activities in the area of emerging risks.; ; This approach has been applied with the purpose to assess risk in new and emerging technologies, such as the cases of Carbon Capture and Sequestration or Liquid Natural Gas regasification, where relative lack of experience can possibly lead to atypical accident scenarios. The results produced are described in this contribution as demonstration of effectiveness of this new holistic approach.
Paltrinieri N, Øien K, Wilday J, Wardman M, Cozzani V (2012). Holistic risk management of atypical accident scenarios.
Holistic risk management of atypical accident scenarios
COZZANI, VALERIO
2012
Abstract
Several of the major accidents that occurred in Europe in recent years showed unexpected scenarios not considered by their site safety reports, such as the accidents at Toulouse (France) in 2001 and Buncefield (United Kingdom) in 2005. This contribution tackles this emerging risk of “atypical” accident scenarios, not captured by standard risk assessment because deviating from normal expectations, which has been firstly introduced by the EC project iNTeg-Risk. A synergy of tools developed or used within the this project is adopted as way of prevention of atypical accident scenarios. Lessons learned, recommendations and the new methodology DyPASI (Dynamic Procedure for Atypical Scenarios Identification) is completed by the REWI (Resilience based Early Warning Indicators) method. The first technique is built for the identification of atypical scenarios and is based on systematization of information from early warnings, represented by past events, near misses and in-depth studies related to the industrial process considered. The second one is a proactive methodology for the development of resilience based early warning indicators and can unveil early deviations in the casual chain of potential accident scenarios. The composition of the two represents an advanced approach to tackle this topical issue from different slants for a more complete result. However, the core of the whole project is always kept as a reference point: the Emerging Risk Management Framework (ERMF), defined to provide the basis for integration of the research and management activities in the area of emerging risks.; ; This approach has been applied with the purpose to assess risk in new and emerging technologies, such as the cases of Carbon Capture and Sequestration or Liquid Natural Gas regasification, where relative lack of experience can possibly lead to atypical accident scenarios. The results produced are described in this contribution as demonstration of effectiveness of this new holistic approach.I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.
